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Jul 31, 2022, 21:0107/31/22
06/25/20
6070
PechangaDude

I believe that almost anything is possible, but is it probable? No

Do you agree that it is more likely you flip a coin once and get no heads, than it is that you flip a coin five times and get no heads?

Jul 31, 2022, 21:0307/31/22
03/28/22
67

Is it possible that the dumb azz engineers that designed that bridge in Washington that collapsed didn't account for all the possible changes in wind condition so the design was flawed or was it simply bad metal?

Jul 31, 2022, 21:0607/31/22
06/25/20
6070
PechangaDude

Is it possible that the dumb azz engineers that designed that bridge in Washington that collapsed didn't account for all the possible changes in wind condition so the design was flawed or was it simply bad metal?

Again. Please answer my question. Do you agree that it is more likely you get no heads from flipping a coin once, than from flipping a coin five times?

Jul 31, 2022, 21:0607/31/22
03/28/22
67

Point is, no matter the level of education, people can make mistakes and you and the rest are making one here. In answer to your question...if you never flip the coin you will never get heads

Jul 31, 2022, 21:0707/31/22
06/25/20
6070
PechangaDude

Point is, no matter the level of education, people can make mistakes and you and the rest are making one here. In answer to your question...if you never flip the coin you will never get heads

Just answer my question. Do you agree that it is more likely you get no heads from flipping a coin once, than from flipping a coin five times?

dthorne04Moderator
Jul 31, 2022, 21:0807/31/22
12/30/20
5223
PechangaDude

Point is, no matter the level of education, people can make mistakes and you and the rest are making one here. In answer to your question...if you never flip the coin you will never get heads


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Jul 31, 2022, 21:0907/31/22
03/28/22
67

Well, as stated I am not a math guy, but I would think that since flipping a coin once is 50 one would have an equal chance no matter how many flips you use unless you just throw a hundred coins in the air, then I would think the ODDS are that at least some would come up heads

Jul 31, 2022, 21:1007/31/22
03/28/22
67

LOL I like that thorny, do you know who got their start in TV writing for the Simpsons?


Jul 31, 2022, 21:1107/31/22
06/25/20
6070
PechangaDude

Well, as stated I am not a math guy, but I would think that since flipping a coin once is 50 one would have an equal chance no matter how many flips you use unless you just throw a hundred coins in the air, then I would think the ODDS are that at least some would come up heads

So you agree that the chance of getting no heads from five flips, is lower than the chance of getting no heads from one flip, right?

Jul 31, 2022, 21:1107/31/22
03/28/22
67

Conan O'Brien, yup he did

Jul 31, 2022, 21:1307/31/22
03/28/22
67

No, I do not agree with that. As stated I think it is the same no matter how many coins you flip. One coin is 50/50 herego ALL coins flipped individually are 50/50

Jul 31, 2022, 21:1407/31/22
03/28/22
67

I flip one coin a year for fifty years ALL have the same chance

Jul 31, 2022, 21:1607/31/22
01/04/20
1719
PechangaDude

Also, your percentages are in error. You can only pull ONE or TEN shards at a time with ancient and voids and only ONE sacred at a time; therefore, it doesn't matter if you start with 33 or 33000 shards. And I was referring to the moderator  quoting the comment made earlier. That person said 65 ir 42% which is in error also. I am NOT saying that the odds you quote are correct or not, although I don' believe they are that low. BUT what I am saying is the odds change disproportionately for individual players. You buy a lot, like me your odds of drawing a lego go down, you spend a little, your odds go up. I guess it is ok because it keeps the game on more of an equal basis between free to play people and spenders. But it really pisses me off because I like to be the best at what I do.

I've spent far more than you have and my luck seems pretty decent, so I'm pretty sure that's not true. These are old stats, sorry nothing more recent. I have't bought many void shards but I seem to be doing alright. 

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Jul 31, 2022, 21:1607/31/22
03/28/22
67

I use one shard a year for fifty years ALL have the same chance or ODDS of getting a lego. I use one shard right after the other ALL have the same chance of getting a lego, no change from the number of coins flipped and no change from the number of shards used

Jul 31, 2022, 21:1807/31/22
03/28/22
67

You got 72 legos, I got 65, think I am doing better but please stick to the topic at hand. 

Jul 31, 2022, 21:1807/31/22
06/25/20
6070
PechangaDude

No, I do not agree with that. As stated I think it is the same no matter how many coins you flip. One coin is 50/50 herego ALL coins flipped individually are 50/50

That's not what I'm asking you.

As you stated - each coin flip individually has a 50/50 chance of being heads. So, if you flip a coin once, you have a 50% chance of not getting a heads.

If you flip the coin five times, will you be less likely to have seen no heads after those five flips? Do you believe that you have the same chance of seeing no heads after flipping a coin five times, than you do after flipping it once?

Jul 31, 2022, 21:1907/31/22
Jul 31, 2022, 21:20(edited)
01/04/20
1719
PechangaDude

You got 72 legos, I got 65, think I am doing better but please stick to the topic at hand. 

I have 130 left after using some as books and turning them into coins for the shop. I just don't feel like posting them all. And this is the topic, you literally said odds go down the more you spend. 

Jul 31, 2022, 21:1907/31/22
03/28/22
67

I answered you already

Jul 31, 2022, 21:2007/31/22
03/28/22
67

I said the odds go down and for me they have

Jul 31, 2022, 21:2107/31/22
06/25/20
6070
PechangaDude

I answered you already

Alright. Y'know what buddy. I'm tired of this. I tried. I really did.

Go bury your head in the sand. I'm done.